Aaron Schaefer

Oct 14 2014

Volatility in the Markets

Market Volatility Update

The lack of volatility and the run-up of the S&P 500 over the last year and a half has created a false sense of security regarding normal market behavior. Despite seeing the second 5% correction in the S&P 500 this year (we expect three in a typical year), the index for the year has delivered a total return of 3% through October 13.

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Aaron Schaefer

Oct 08 2014

October’s Economy and Market from Here…at Hills

Economy and Market Here at Hills

After an unusually long period of market calm, investors’ anxiety was piqued early in the quarter by the escalation of geopolitical tensions in Ukraine, a number of intensifying conflicts in the Middle East, the failure of a major Portuguese bank, and the Argentine government’s technical default. The accompanying resurgence of stock market volatility did not come as a complete surprise. Markets bounced back in August on positive economic reports including a pick-up in the manufacturing and non-manufacturing indices, falling ongoing unemployment claims, accelerating motor vehicle sales, and rising consumer confidence. The S&P 500 closed at an all-time high of 2011.36 on September 18 but retreated by quarter-end, finishing just slightly positive for the quarter. So far this year through September 30, the S&P 500 is up 8.33%.

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